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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a...... more |
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Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has...... more |
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This Land, These Waters
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The Cedar Canoe: What Happened to Ryan?
A young man is found dead from an apparent overdose/suicide in a small Northwestern Ontario town. Wh... more |
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The Clash of Rights: Liberty, Equality, and Legitimacy in Pluralist Democracy
Why do citizens in pluralist democracies disagree collectively about the very values they agree on i... more |
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Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics: Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives
we lack standards for evaluating them. To fill this gap, Philip Tetlock and Aaron Belkin propose a set of criteria for...... more |
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Prejudice, Politics, and the American Dilemma
A Stanford University Press classic.... more |
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Reasoning and Choice: Explorations in Political Psychology
Drawing on a multitude of data sets and building on analyses carried out over more than a decade, Re... more |
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Reasoning and Choice: Explorations in Political Psychology
Drawing on a multitude of data sets and building on analyses carried out over more than a decade, Re... more |
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Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume II
In the last year the world has witnessed changes in East-West relations that would have been unthink... more |
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Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume I
All people wish to avoid nuclear war, but this fact provides little guidance for policy. One reason ... more |
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Learning in U.S. and Soviet Foreign Policy
Are policymakers capable of learning about the complex international environment they must deal with... more |
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Psychology and Social Policy
This work explores the application of psychological data and theories to controversial policy issues... more |
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Prejudice, Politics, and the American Dilemma
A Stanford University Press classic.... more |
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Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has...... more |
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction: Includes PDF Disc
. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts predictions are only slightly better...... more |
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts predictions are only slightly better...... more |
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Superforecasting
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
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Unmaking the West: What-if? Scenarios That Rewrite World History
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Unmaking the West: What-if? Scenarios That Rewrite World History
Provocative explorations that demonstrate how a counterfactual perspective can help us think about h... more |
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Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
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Information Markets: A New Way of Making Decisions
Information markets are markets for contracts that yield payments based on the outcome of an uncerta... more |
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Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
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Psychology and Social Policy
First published in 1992. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.... more |
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Learning in U.S. and Soviet Trade Policy
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